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David McElroy

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Counting on the status quo? Do you have a plan in case things collapse?

By David McElroy · June 16, 2011

I believe we’re going to see some form of social, political and economic collapse in the next few decades. Most people reading this probably don’t believe that. But do you have a plan about what to do in case you’re wrong?

People predict doom all the time. No matter what world economic conditions are like, you can find someone who’s predicting the end of the world and the collapse of life as we know it. Most of them turn out to be wrong. Every now and then, though, they’re right — as was the case at the start of the Great Depression. And every time things collapse, most people are caught unprepared.

If you want to read the case that things are going to collapse, there are plenty of articles, so I’m not going to try to scare you by linking to a million of them. (Here’s one that I was reading earlier today that made me starting thinking about the subject, though.) I’m not trying to convince you that I’m right. I’m just asking if you’re prepared in case the worst happens.

Even though most people have vague feelings of worry about the economy (in the United States and in various parts of the rest of the world), most people are still acting as though things aren’t going to change much. People are still buying houses and going into debt and spending money for consumer goods. They’re still making plans for retirement and kids’ college education and all sorts of other things — all based on the unspoken assumption that the economic and political world as we know it will continue.

But what if that assumption is wrong? Do you have a plan for what to do then?

For a number of years, I’ve been thinking that bad times were coming. Compared to the kind of bad times I’m thinking of, the economic slowdown of the past few years has been a mere hiccough. (I think what we’re facing in the future is going to be a restructuring that will make the Depression look like a picnic as well.) For a long time, I’ve considered where to go and what to do, but it’s only been in the last year or so that I’ve started to do more than idly speculate. I don’t want to get caught up in what I expect to happen. I want an exit strategy.

I think there are two reasons why people don’t plan for a collapse. First, they’re not convinced it’s coming. Second, they’re not convinced there’s anything realistic they can do about it. I’ve been convinced for years on the first point. It’s the second I’m working on now, which is why I’m looking to meet more and more people who are also planning for the changes coming in the future. The more people I talk with, the more I realize that lots of people want an exit plan. They just don’t know where to look.

Where am I going to go and what am I going to do? I don’t know yet. I’ve considered several places that might be safer, but I’ve generally come to the conclusion that the safest thing is going to be is to have a place where other people are looking for escape, too. It might be an island in the Caribbean or the South Pacific. It might be a free city in Honduras. It might be a floating platform in an ocean. It might be something else. I don’t know.

The only thing I’m sure about is that I’m actively engaged in finding an escape plan — and I’m actively looking for others who want such a plan for themselves and their families. If you’re one of those people, I want to get to know you. We might need each other soon.

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Some of you might be aware that my dog Lucy died o Some of you might be aware that my dog Lucy died of cancer last weekend. As I’ve been grieving the loss of this beautiful and loving girl, I put together a one-minute compilation of short videos of Lucy from her first two or three weeks with me in early 2016. She was several years old at the time, but living with me provided her first stable home. She was unsure of herself at first, but she quickly developed confidence as she discovered how much she was loved. #dog #dogs #dogstagram #dogsofinstagram #cute #cutedog #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #instadog #ilovedogs #birmingham #alabama
Tonight’s moon is apparently something called a be Tonight’s moon is apparently something called a beaver supermoon. I noticed as I was getting home from work that it was a bright yellowish-orange, so I snapped this a couple of miles from home. It’s not a great photo, but I was pretty happy with it for an iPhone shot on the side of the road. #nature #naturephotography #sky #colorful #clouds #sunset #birmingham #alabama #iphone17pro
I’m heartbroken to tell you that I lost Lucy early I’m heartbroken to tell you that I lost Lucy early Sunday morning. The World’s Happiest Dog lived with me for 10 years, but I can’t say for sure how old she was when she came to live with me. I’ve written a brief article on my website about Lucy and what she meant to me, which you’ll find as the most recent article at davidmcelroy.org if you would be interested. (There’s a clickable link on my profile.) Like every good dog, she was “the goodest dog.” I love her dearly and I’m going to miss her fiercely. #dog #dogs #dogstagram #dogsofinstagram #cute #cutedog #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #instadog #ilovedogs #birmingham #alabama
There’s been a lot of controversy over Bad Bunny p There’s been a lot of controversy over Bad Bunny performing at the Super Bowl, so I suggest a response. I’ll put together a novelty act called Funny Bunny and the G-Men. Here’s what the costumes look like. (And the animated version doesn’t even need costumes.) Funny Bunny does satirical political songs while the G-Men chase him around. With the right humorous songs, this could be comedy gold. Who wants to write songs? 😃
This was the view on my left this evening as I dro This was the view on my left this evening as I drove home from work. This was on I-459 near the Cahaba River bridge. (I didn’t have my “real” camera in the car, so this is an iPhone photo.) #nature #naturephotography #sky #colorful #clouds #sunset #birmingham #alabama
I have always accepted as obvious the fact that yo I have always accepted as obvious the fact that you couldn’t take a halfway decent photo of the moon with a smartphone. (I don’t count the cheat that Samsung uses in some models to artificially create bits that don’t exist in the optical image.) But a friend shot a picture of the moon with her new iPhone 17 night or two ago, I so snapped one frame as I got out of the car just now. The resolution and detail aren’t great, but this is better than I expected. #nature #naturephotography #sky #moon #birmingham #alabama #iphone17pro
I hope this rainbow over I-459 on my way home is a I hope this rainbow over I-459 on my way home is a good omen for the weekend. 😃
I’m very happy to report that my promotion to star I’m very happy to report that my promotion to starship captain has finally come through, so I’ll be leaving Earth and heading to the stars very soon — just as soon as Starfleet has some uniforms in stock that fit chubby guys like me. Anybody else want to sign up and leave the planet with me. 🖖🏻#startrek
Here’s the sunset that caught my attention on my d Here’s the sunset that caught my attention on my drive home just a few minutes ago. #nature #naturephotography #sky #colorful #clouds #sunset #birmingham #alabama
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Alex is slowly going to sleep just before midnight Alex is slowly going to sleep just before midnight as he lies on his back — with his paws up in the air — as he relaxes on my arm. He’s been purring the whole time. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #tabby #tabbycat #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
Late Monday night, Alex seems to be reveling in hi Late Monday night, Alex seems to be reveling in his mouse-hunting skills. He’s pretty sure he could take over if my own hunting skills fail us. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #tabby #tabbycat #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
As soon as I got back home just now and sat down, As soon as I got back home just now and sat down, Oliver jumped up into my lap to demand attention. It’s a good thing I’m not delusional enough to believe I’m in charge around here. 😺 #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
Alex caught and killed a mouse tonight, which mean Alex caught and killed a mouse tonight, which means he’s acting like a king who’s defended his kingdom now. We’ve never had a mouse problem in this house, but this is about the third this year. I just bought a trap that I need to put out. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #tabby #tabbycat #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
As I left the house for the afternoon, Oliver was As I left the house for the afternoon, Oliver was busy in an office window keeping track of something in the air outside the house. Of course, if there’s any real danger, they’ll all just hide. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
I just told Alex that we need to get to sleep at a I just told Alex that we need to get to sleep at a decent time tonight, because I have a lot to get done Monday morning. He doesn’t have any objection to going to sleep soon, but he does have a great objection to getting up in the morning and getting any work done. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #tabby #tabbycat #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
Sam has joined Alex on the bed late Sunday night a Sam has joined Alex on the bed late Sunday night and Oliver is in the blue chair, so they’re not leaving much room for me in the bedroom. They don’t see that as an issue, of course. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #blackcat #blackcats #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
Our house has been in grave danger this afternoon Our house has been in grave danger this afternoon because an unknown black cat has been stalking the neighborhood. Fortunately for us, Alex is on duty to keep us alerted to developments in this disturbing case. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #tabby #tabbycat #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
From the CritterCam: All three cats went to the of From the CritterCam: All three cats went to the office for the night about 10 minutes ago. I’m convinced that Alex knows I’m watching him. #cat #cats #catstagram #catsofinstagram #cute #cutecat #pets #petstagram #petsofinstagram #tabby #tabbycat #instacat #ilovecats #birmingham #alabama
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