{"id":17806,"date":"2013-04-29T00:00:03","date_gmt":"2013-04-29T05:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.davidmcelroy.org\/?p=17806"},"modified":"2013-04-29T10:50:14","modified_gmt":"2013-04-29T15:50:14","slug":"global-warming-or-a-new-ice-age-anyone-who-claims-to-know-is-lying","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/?p=17806","title":{"rendered":"Global warming or a new ice age? Anyone who claims to know is lying"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.davidmcelroy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Time-The-Cooling-of-America.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-17807\" alt=\"Time-The Cooling of America\" src=\"http:\/\/www.davidmcelroy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Time-The-Cooling-of-America.jpg\" width=\"250\" height=\"329\" srcset=\"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Time-The-Cooling-of-America.jpg 250w, https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Time-The-Cooling-of-America-227x300.jpg 227w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a>In the 1970s, we were regularly being told to worry about a coming ice age. I can remember reading about it in Weekly Reader. Time magazine ran this story, right, in 1979. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=1kGB5MMIAVA\" target=\"_blank\">Here&#8217;s the introduction<\/a> to a 1978 documentary warning us about it. And here&#8217;s a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatedepot.com\/2009\/10\/06\/dont-miss-it-climate-depots-factsheet-on-1970s-coming-ice-age-claims-2\/\" target=\"_blank\">whole boatload of other predictions<\/a> from the \u201970s assuring us that we were facing serious cooling.<\/p>\n<p>Then everything switched. The popular theory was suddenly that we faced <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Global_warming\" target=\"_blank\">global warming<\/a>. We were told over and over again that the science was settled and decided. The Earth was warming up &#8212; and it was the burning of fossil fuels that was responsible. We must change our standard of living and quit using so much energy.<\/p>\n<p>Those who dared to question the &#8220;scientific consensus&#8221; were labeled &#8220;deniers&#8221; in order to shame them by lumping them in with Holocaust deniers.<\/p>\n<p>The only problem is that reality hasn&#8217;t matched the predictions. Climate scientists &#8212; still wedded to their dear theory &#8212; are struggling now to explain why <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/2013\/04\/16\/us-climate-slowdown-idUSBRE93F0AJ20130416\" target=\"_blank\">warming isn&#8217;t happening as their models predicted<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And now Russian scientists are claiming that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thegwpf.org\/russian-scientists-we-face-cooling-period-200-250-years\/\" target=\"_blank\">we could face a cooling period<\/a> for the next 200 to 250 years.<\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t have a clue what the climate is going to do. I really don&#8217;t. But I do know that the people loudly telling us what&#8217;s going to happen have no credibility, as far as I&#8217;m concerned. When predictions change this much over a 40-year period, it&#8217;s impossible to have confidence in the people making the predictions. It&#8217;s not necessarily that they&#8217;re bad people or that they have poor intentions.<\/p>\n<p>But it does mean that they&#8217;re making predictions with a level of certainty that just isn&#8217;t possible.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->The world might warm up a bit. It might cool a bit instead. It&#8217;ll probably do some of both, if you want <em>my<\/em> brilliant scientific opinion. There&#8217;s not enough data. The current models can&#8217;t explain what&#8217;s actually happened recently. And despite improvements in our understanding of climate, we&#8217;re still theorizing about why certain things happen as they do. The idea that we have an understanding of how to predict what&#8217;s going to happen (and why) is looking pretty foolish right now.<\/p>\n<p>What&#8217;s worse is that these people want us to reorder the entire world economy on the basis of their clearly flawed predictions. They keep saying, in essence, &#8220;Well we were wrong about that &#8230; or, well, sorta wrong &#8230; but we&#8217;ve got it right now.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>On the basis of that, they want us to use the force of government to require everyone on the planet to change how they live. That&#8217;s lunacy.<\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t know what the future holds for the climate. The climate scientists clearly don&#8217;t, either. The difference is that I&#8217;m not claiming that governments should listen to me and force everyone to obey the strategies I lay out according to my theories.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s sheer arrogance that the environmental movement is demanding that we obey what they&#8217;ve been looking for an excuse to impose for many decades.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the 1970s, we were regularly being told to worry about a coming ice age. I can remember reading about it in Weekly Reader. Time magazine ran this story, right, in 1979. Here&#8217;s the introduction to a 1978 documentary warning us about it. And here&#8217;s a whole boatload of other predictions from the \u201970s assuring <a href=\"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/?p=17806\" class=\"more-link\">Keep Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-17806","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-uncategorized","7":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1x9iR-4Dc","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17806"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17806\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17818,"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17806\/revisions\/17818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davidmcelroy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}